SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Nicaragua |
35.23% ( -0.02) | 27.78% ( 0) | 36.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% ( -0.01) | 57.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% ( -0.01) | 78.23% ( 0) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.02) | 30.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( -0.02) | 67.23% ( 0.01) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0) | 29.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.01) | 65.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.99% |
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