SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Jamaica |
41.09% ( -0.4) | 27.82% ( 0.07) | 31.09% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.14) | 58.27% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% ( -0.11) | 78.91% ( 0.11) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.29) | 27.88% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.37) | 63.49% ( 0.37) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( 0.17) | 34.2% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( 0.18) | 70.9% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.08% |
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