SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Nicaragua |
15.94% ( -0.71) | 19.78% ( -0.56) | 64.29% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( 1.24) | 40.1% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( 1.27) | 62.47% ( -1.27) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.12) | 38.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( -0.11) | 74.95% ( 0.12) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( 0.73) | 11.79% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.01% ( 1.53) | 36.99% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 2-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.94% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.78% | 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 7.33% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 3.92% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 3.77% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.29% |
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