SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.03%) and 0-3 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Barbados win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Nicaragua |
8.23% ( 0.06) | 15.39% ( -0.07) | 76.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.69% ( 0.56) | 40.3% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% ( 0.57) | 62.68% ( -0.57) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.52) | 51.51% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.32% ( 0.34) | 85.68% ( -0.34) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( 0.14) | 8.82% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.76% ( 0.33) | 30.24% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.23% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.39% | 0-2 @ 13.39% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 10.84% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 6.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 76.37% |
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