SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guyana | Draw | Guatemala |
45.94% ( 0.51) | 23.56% ( -0.01) | 30.5% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.22) | 40.67% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.22) | 63.06% ( 0.22) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0.12) | 17.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( 0.21) | 48.84% ( -0.21) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.42) | 25.69% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -0.58) | 60.61% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guyana | Draw | Guatemala |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.5% |
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