SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Guyana win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guyana | Draw | Suriname |
28.59% ( -1.72) | 24.02% ( -0.13) | 47.38% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -0.38) | 43.89% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( -0.38) | 66.28% ( 0.37) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -1.37) | 28.58% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -1.74) | 64.38% ( 1.74) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( 0.61) | 18.67% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( 1.01) | 50% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guyana | Draw | Suriname |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.38% |
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