SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Martinique |
59.09% ( -0.46) | 22.99% ( 0.16) | 17.92% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( -0.18) | 50.57% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.16) | 72.49% ( 0.17) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.22) | 16.79% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( -0.4) | 46.75% ( 0.41) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( 0.26) | 42.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( 0.22) | 78.47% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Martinique |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.92% |
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