SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | El Salvador |
61.05% ( -0.62) | 21.71% ( 0.35) | 17.25% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( -1.03) | 46.33% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( -0.98) | 68.62% ( 0.98) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.53) | 14.69% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( -1.03) | 42.86% ( 1.03) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.29) | 40.34% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( -0.27) | 76.97% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.04% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.25% |
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