The Guatemalans are traditionally a defensive squad, while little is known about this Uruguay squad, and we expect both sides to play conservatively given their nature and the fact that some big games are upcoming for each nation.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.02) 
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