Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.