SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Hammarby |
27.31% ( 0.46) | 24.22% ( 0.34) | 48.46% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -1.17) | 45.64% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -1.12) | 67.97% ( 1.12) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( -0.26) | 30.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( -0.31) | 66.62% ( 0.31) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.77) | 18.92% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% ( -1.3) | 50.43% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.31% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.46% |
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