Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
75.72% ( -0.16) | 14.6% ( 0.06) | 9.68% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.05% ( 0.06) | 30.95% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.67% ( 0.07) | 52.32% ( -0.07) |
Hammarby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.2% ( -0.02) | 6.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.92% ( -0.05) | 25.07% ( 0.05) |
Sirius Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.25% ( 0.25) | 41.75% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.78% ( 0.22) | 78.21% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.6% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.68% |
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