SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Degerfors |
65.06% ( 5.48) | 19.01% ( -1.59) | 15.93% ( -3.89) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.71) | 36.48% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( 0.78) | 58.62% ( -0.77) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( 1.67) | 10.53% ( -1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( 3.63) | 34.24% ( -3.62) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -3.81) | 35.95% ( 3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -4.11) | 72.73% ( 4.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.91)1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.46)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 1.11)4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.85)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.34)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.48)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.87% Total : 65.06% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.57)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.85) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.58)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.54)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.93% |
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