SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
58.63% ( 0.74) | 21.82% ( -0.37) | 19.55% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.76% ( 1.11) | 43.24% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.36% ( 1.09) | 65.64% ( -1.09) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.61) | 14.43% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( 1.17) | 42.37% ( -1.16) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( 0.26) | 35.93% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( 0.27) | 72.71% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.82% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.55% |
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