SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SC Paderborn |
51.22% ( -0.62) | 22.02% ( 0.48) | 26.76% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 63.68% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% ( -2.19) | 35.85% ( 2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( -2.45) | 57.93% ( 2.46) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0.96) | 14.28% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( -1.91) | 42.07% ( 1.92) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -1.04) | 25.71% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -1.44) | 60.64% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.76% |
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