SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.16%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SC Paderborn |
57.16% ( 0.95) | 20.37% ( 0.02) | 22.47% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.66% ( -1.3) | 32.33% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.05% ( -1.53) | 53.95% ( 1.53) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( -0.16) | 11.34% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.97% ( -0.35) | 36.02% ( 0.35) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -1.49) | 26.98% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -1.99) | 62.33% ( 1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.76% Total : 22.47% |
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