Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.16%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
57.16% ( 0.95)	20.37% ( 0.02)	22.47% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 64.73% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.66% (

-1.3)

32.33% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.05% (

-1.53)

53.95% (

1.53)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.66% (

-0.16)

11.34% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.97% (

-0.35)

36.02% (

0.35)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-1.49)

26.98% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-1.99)

62.33% (

1.99)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 57.16%

SC Paderborn 22.47%

Draw 20.37%

Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 57.16%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 22.47%