SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Hamburger SV |
42.23% ( 3.19) | 22.95% ( -0.56) | 34.82% ( -2.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 2.41) | 36.03% ( -2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.88% ( 2.6) | 58.13% ( -2.59) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 2.41) | 17.62% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% ( 4.01) | 48.22% ( -4.01) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.22) | 21.02% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.35) | 53.8% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.24)Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.76)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.63)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.82% |
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