Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
