Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
54.83%	21.24%	23.93%

Both teams to score 63.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.18%

34.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.21%

56.79%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2%

12.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.88%

39.12%

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77%

27.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35%

62.65%

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 54.83%

SC Paderborn 23.93%

Draw 21.24%

Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.37% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.95% 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.37% Total : 54.83%	1-1 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.77% Total : 23.93%