Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.84% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
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