SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Preussen Munster win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Preussen Munster |
68.71% ( -1.08) | 16.67% ( 0.31) | 14.61% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.43% ( 0.22) | 27.57% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.27) | 48.2% ( -0.28) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( -0.16) | 7.35% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.46% ( -0.4) | 26.54% ( 0.4) |
| Preussen Munster Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 1.11) | 31.72% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( 1.25) | 68.15% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Preussen Munster |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.26)1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.54% Total : 68.71% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.37% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 14.61% |
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