Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Preussen Munster win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.