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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
36.91% ( -1.13) | 25.69% ( 0.21) | 37.4% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.93) | 48.8% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( -0.85) | 70.9% ( 0.85) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -1.05) | 25.77% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -1.44) | 60.71% ( 1.45) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.08) | 25.49% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.11) | 60.33% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.4% |
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