SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
55.66% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.01) | 21.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( 0.01) | 43.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.67% ( 0.01) | 66.33% ( -0.01) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.01) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.02) | 44.66% ( -0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.02) | 34.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -0.02) | 70.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.72% |
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