SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
49.49% ( 1.39) | 24.95% ( -0.24) | 25.56% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.12) | 50.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.11) | 72.01% ( -0.11) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( 0.64) | 20.24% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.43% ( 1.01) | 52.57% ( -1.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -0.88) | 34.13% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.18% ( -0.95) | 70.82% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Brentford | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 16 | Everton | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 44 | -31 | 9 |
| 20 | Burnley | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 8 |
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