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Scottish League One | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
KH

Falkirk
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Nesbitt (41'), Maciver (76')
Lang (5'), Maciver (15'), Henderson (26'), McCann (61'), Ross (72'), Yeats (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bavidge (66')
Johnston (38'), Moore (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
74.36% (0.0040000000000049 0) 15.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0) 10.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)33.19% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.42% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)42.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.68%
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 74.36%
    Kelty Hearts 10.25%
    Draw 15.39%
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
2-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.89%
4-0 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.4%
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19%
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.13%
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 74.36%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.39%
1-2 @ 3.06%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 17 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 3-0 Alloa
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 3-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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