Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.39) 
0.02) 
