Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.13) 
