Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.46) 
