SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
55.21% ( -0.17) | 24.04% ( 0.07) | 20.75% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.17) | 51.02% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( -0.15) | 72.88% ( 0.15) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.13) | 18.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% ( -0.22) | 49.47% ( 0.22) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.01) | 39.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( 0.01) | 75.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.2% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.75% |
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