Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
35.11% ( 0)	27.35% ( 0)	37.53% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

-0.01)

55.82% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

-0)

76.94% (

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-0)

30.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

-0)

66.37%

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-0.01)

28.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

-0.01)

64.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Jerusalem 35.1%

Beitar Jerusalem 37.53%

Draw 27.35%

Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.1%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.53%