Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
