Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
-1.63) 
0.09) 
