Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game.
The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
