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League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
SU

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton


Folarin (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajiboye (8')
Goodliffe (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United

Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game. The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
35.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 27.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.03% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.96% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.03%
    Sutton United 37.81%
    Draw 27.15%
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-3 Colchester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two


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