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League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
SU

Salford City
1 - 2
Sutton

Watson (50')
Vassell (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanderson (45+2', 63')
Smith (20'), Sanderson (56'), N'Guessan (88'), Beautyman (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Sutton United

Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival. However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSutton United
47.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (0.662 0.66)41.02% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)63.41% (-0.667 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.277 0.28)17.49% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.478 0.48)47.98% (-0.474 -0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.39 0.39)26.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.15% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 47.55%
    Sutton United 28.99%
    Draw 23.45%
Salford CityDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-4 Sutton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two


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