SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
28.68% ( 0.03) | 25.33% ( 0) | 45.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 0.01) | 49.57% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( 0) | 71.6% ( -0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.02) | 31.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( 0.03) | 67.82% ( -0.03) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.01) | 21.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -0.02) | 54.64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.99% |
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