SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
42.12% ( -0.33) | 25.83% ( -0.05) | 32.05% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.31) | 50.21% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( 0.27) | 72.17% ( -0.27) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.03) | 23.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0.05) | 57.76% ( 0.04) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.4) | 29.41% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( 0.49) | 65.4% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.05% |
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