SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
34.25% ( -4.46) | 26.17% ( -1.02) | 39.57% ( 5.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( 3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( 4.16) | 51.1% ( -4.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( 3.53) | 72.96% ( -3.53) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.66) | 28.43% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.83) | 64.19% ( 0.83) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 5.22) | 25.36% ( -5.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 6.65) | 60.16% ( -6.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -1.81) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -1.27)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.59)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -1.28)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.9)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.82)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.89)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.75)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.45)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.57% |
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