Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
0.56) 
-0.17) 
