SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
49.06% ( -0.36) | 23.39% ( 0.06) | 27.56% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.05) | 41.7% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.05) | 64.1% ( 0.06) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.15) | 17.17% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( -0.27) | 47.43% ( 0.27) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 0.19) | 28.19% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( 0.24) | 63.89% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.56% |
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