SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
36.87% ( 0.23) | 25.82% ( 0.11) | 37.31% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0.48) | 49.39% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.43) | 71.44% ( 0.43) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.09) | 26.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( -0.12) | 61.11% ( 0.12) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( -0.41) | 25.82% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -0.56) | 60.78% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.31% |
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