SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
36.55% ( 0.01) | 25.35% ( 0) | 38.1% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0) | 47.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0) | 69.51% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0) | 25.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( 0) | 60.02% ( 0) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( -0.01) | 58.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.1% |
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