SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
38.13% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( -0.01) | 35.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( 0.01) | 53.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( 0.01) | 74.7% ( -0.01) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.01) | 27.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.02) | 62.47% ( -0.02) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0) | 28.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0) | 64.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.18% |
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