SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
48.51% ( -0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 25.77% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.06) | 52.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( -0.05) | 74.55% ( 0.06) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.05) | 21.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( -0.08) | 55.07% ( 0.08) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0) | 35.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0) | 72.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 25.77% |
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