SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
22.93% ( -0.34) | 22.06% ( -0.03) | 55.01% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.27) | 39.89% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.28) | 62.25% ( 0.28) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.44) | 30.84% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -0.52) | 67.11% ( 0.52) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.02) | 14.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( 0.05) | 42.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.01% |
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