SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
45.21% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( -0.03) | 30.21% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.05) | 45.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.04) | 67.85% ( -0.05) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.09) | 20.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.44% ( 0.15) | 52.56% ( -0.16) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.08) | 28.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( -0.1) | 64.01% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.21% |
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