With each club losing in different circumstances last time out, it remains to be seen how they will react. A low-scoring draw does not necessarily suit either team, but, for us, it is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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