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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
SM

Hearts
0 - 2
St Mirren


Snodgrass (7'), Smith (50'), Rowles (86')
Snodgrass (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Tanser (67'), Dunne (68'), Gogic (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 St Mirren

Aside from the Old Firm, this is the most anticipated Scottish fixture this weekend, the feeling being that St Mirren can close the gap on their third-placed opponents to one point. However, we feel that Hearts, playing at Tynecastle, will do just enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
43.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.4% (0.0019999999999989 0) 33.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)38.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 43.55%
    St Mirren 33.05%
    Draw 23.39%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Celtic
Saturday, March 11 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Hearts
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-5 Celtic
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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