SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
53.61% ( -0.03) | 22.82% ( 0.01) | 23.56% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.03) | 42.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.03) | 65.12% ( 0.03) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0.02) | 15.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( -0.04) | 45.15% ( 0.04) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% | 31.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( -0) | 68.3% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 6% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 23.56% |
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