SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
49.35% ( 0.55) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( -0.59) | 47.09% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( -0.55) | 69.33% ( 0.55) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.01) | 19.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( -0.01) | 50.77% ( 0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.77) | 31.98% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.89) | 68.44% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.28% |
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