SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 0-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.76% ( -0.04) | 21.3% ( -0) | 53.93% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.02) | 34.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.86% ( -0.03) | 56.14% ( 0.03) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.04) | 26.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( -0.06) | 61.4% ( 0.06) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( 0.01) | 12.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( 0.01) | 39.27% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 53.93% |
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